Newspapers From Around the World
Newspapers globally are gradually shifting towards digital content amidst the waning print business. Over the past two decades, newspaper companies have faced significant challenges, with many experiencing their stock prices reaching their zenith in the late 90s and early 2000s, coinciding with the decline of print media. However, digitalization presents a promising avenue for newspapers to escape this decline. It holds the potential to not only reverse the downward trajectory but also trigger a reevaluation of stock prices, driven by anticipated growth and enhanced profitability in the market’s eyes.
Consider the case of The New York Times (NYT), a prime example of successful transition to digital platforms. This evolution has not only bolstered its share price, which stood at $5 in 2009 and now hovers around $43, but also transformed its revenue dynamics. Presently, 63% of its advertising revenue stems from digital ads, and out of its 10.36 million subscribers, a staggering 9.7 million are digital-only subscribers. Leveraging the global reach of the internet, the company has amassed its largest subscriber base in history.
While digital revenue hasn’t yet matched the heyday of print, the company’s share price remains around its early 2000s peak. However, with digital revenue poised for continued growth, The New York Times has staged a remarkable resurgence. This narrative isn’t unique to The Times; several newspapers worldwide could replicate this success.
I’ve assembled a list of such newspapers that are still in the beginning stages of their digital journey, offering potential investment opportunities at lower valuations compared to The New York Times, which currently trades at over three times EV/Sales, contrasting with others mostly below two times EV/Sales, and even below one times.
In the digital age, newspapers are poised for significant growth. With a vast audience online, newspapers have the potential to greatly expand their reach. They also stand to benefit directly from the increasing investment in digital advertising.
However, perhaps the most crucial role newspapers can play is in upholding the integrity of information dissemination. In an online landscape fraught with misinformation, newspapers could remain a beacon of truth. As AI technology advances, the threat of fabricated content proliferating is imminent, potentially exacerbating the misinformation epidemic. This, I speculate, could prompt a resurgence in reliance on trusted journalistic sources for information in the future.
I first heard about this investment idea from Kuppy, a famous investment manager, during a podcast a few years ago. However, I’ve only recently decided to take action and buy two stocks from the list below. This article is mainly a summary of various newspaper stocks that are publicly available and caught my attention, along with the two I invested in and why I chose them. So without further ado I will start below.
Newspapers Stocks
- Vocento SA
- Ticker BME:VOC
- Spanish newspaper
- 26% market share in the spanish market
- I think digital rev is 46% of total rev
- They are profitable
- 100M Market Cap with EV of 250M with Total Rev of 350M which gives a EV to Sales of .71 times
- Half the profit goes to minority interests which means EV/Sales is more like 1.4 times than .7 making it a lot more expensive.
- Decent Div in the high single digits.
- Not interesting as its alot more expensive than others on the list. However digital revenue is alot higher
- Reach PLC
- Ticker LON:RCH
- Largest news publisher in the UK and Ireland
- Market Cap of 240M and rev of 568M
- EV of 800M gives a EV to Sales of 1.4
- Digital Rev is 22% of total rev as of 2023
- Revenue has declined from 700M in 2019 to 568M in 2023
- Digital Rev is up from 2019 from 107 to 127M in 2023. It reached 150M last year. Advertising took a hit in 2023
- They have some pension Libs. Watch out for that
- They are profitable with 21M in 2023 and 52M in 2022
- No significant insider ownership
- Almost a 10% Div
- Kinda Expensive
- Balance sheet is not great
- Overall the company is kinda expensive with no insider ownership and not a great balance sheet
- National World PLC
- Ticker LON:NWOR
- Newspaper in Scotland, Ireland and northern England
- Seems like the original business was acquired in 2021 and new management has been growing it organically and inorganically making a lot of acquisitions and took it public in 2021
- Their focus is to consolidate the industry and focus on digital content.
- Complained a lot about the BBC being a government subsidized competitor in the news sector
- In 2021 the company had 1500 employees and now they only have 1200.
- Digital Rev about 20% of sales. But digital is growing fast. as of 2023
- Digital rev is growing quickly 26% in 2022 and 13% growth in 2023
- The balance sheet in 2022 was very good around 27M in cash vs libs of 24M
- The balance sheet in 2023 was less impressive as they made 7 acqusitions in 2023 for 14.4M.
- Company has market cap of 40M and profit in 2023 was 2.7M with FCF probably being better
- As of 2023 EV was 51M with Rev of 88M so an EV/Sales of less than .6
- Insiders own 20%
- Kinda interesting will keep on radar
- Bastei Luebbe AG
- Ticker ETR:BST
- German Book Publisher
- Rev in 2018 was 95M vs 91M in rev in 2023. So about flat
- Rev in 2012 was 82M. So rev growth as been very low.
- Profit was 4.3M in 2023 and -15M in 2018
- 32% of the group’s sales are Digital sales as of 2023
- Market Cap of 88M and EV as of 2023 of 120M so EV to Sales of 1.3 times
- They also own a video game publisher. Mostly books though.
- Balance sheet is not that great
- Largest book publisher in Germany with 23% market share.
- Kinda interesting. Wish I brought it during covid
- Postmedia Network
- Ticker TSE:PNC.A
- Owns the national post and financial post in Canada
- Lost 72M in 2023 and 2022
- Digital ads were 37% of advertising rev in 2023
- Tons of debt probably going bankrupt
- Future plc
- Ticker LON:FUTR
- It’s more like the QVC of the internet than a news Brand they do own the PC Gamer website which is kinda news
- Talk alot about branded content which is sponsored
- They brands they own also don’t seem to be that beefy its mostly throw away stuff. Like home and garden.
- 514M is Digital rev vs 274M in Offline Mag Rev
- 113M profit in 2023 compared to market cap of 706M
- EV closer to 1.4B with EBIT of 174M 8 times EV/EBIT Ratio
- EBITA though is closer to 230M
- Their strategy is to acquire various online brands.
- cash returned to shareholders is quite low.
- Management owns no real interest in the stock
- Long term Stock comp is based on
- relative TSR
- Adjusted EPS
- Organic Rev Growth
- Not that great
- Organic growth was 11% in 2018, 31% in 2019, 2021 was 23%, 2023 was -10%
- Overall the company is not just growing through acquisitions.
- EV to Sales of 1.8 times one of the most expensive but they also have some of the highest profits and most digital revs as a percent of total revs
- Seem to be struggling in revenue in 2024 due to downturn in advertising
- Didn’t go for it because I didn’t like their brands too much. Though it is kinda interesting
- Roularta
- Ticker EBR:ROU
- Acquired another 3 Magazines in 2023
- Seems to be consolidating Dutch magazines
- Mostly a magazine company. 70% of sales as of 2023
- Sales declined mostly due to advertising
- I estimate digital revenue as of 2023 to be between 10-15%
- Market cap of 150M with 323M in Rev
- D/E ratio of .6 still. No lease libs so I wonder if they own property
- Barely broke even in 2023 with 2M profit
- Printing services segment has a lower gross margin than the media business.
- EV of 230M as of 2023 .71 EV to Sales
- Not very interesting as digital sales is quite low compared to others
- NZME
- Ticker ASX:NZME
- Newspaper and radio business in New Zealand
- NZME is the dominant player in New Zealand with 47% of the print market and 43% of the radio. The dominant position gives me vibes that they’ll be able to transition to digital easily as they have brand recognition in their country. Probably why they have high digital rev to total publishing rev.
- 160M Market Cap with 14M in Earnings in 2023 with 23M in 2022
- Earnings are down this year due to advertising getting hit. I wonder if this may reverse next year as it seems to be a sector thing.
- Decent balance sheet. Net debt at 18M vs total assets over 200M
- exposure to podcasting as they transition their radio business to podcasting
- 43% digital publishing Rev vs total publishing rev of 209M as of 2023
- Div of 16M in 2023 nearly 10% div yield
- 29% total digital rev to total group rev
- Digital Rev up from 56M in 2017 to 94M in 2023
- Total Rev is 347M in 2023 vs 387M in 2017
- Radio rev was very flat at 110M in 2017 vs 105M in 2023
- Print was way down from 221M in 2017 vs 123M in 2023
- EV of 310M with total rev of 340M gives an EV to Sales of .9
- This one is relatively cheap and has a dominant position in its home market. Print revenue is pretty low relative to other revenues and the company is probably close to revenue growth unlike some of the others on the list while also being quite cheap and having a decent balance sheet. This is one of the ones I brought and added to the portfolio.
- I’m thinking revenue will probably start growing after the downturn in advertising is over. In the meantime I can collect a high dividend.
- Societa Editoriale
- Ticker BIT-SEIF
- Italian Newspaper. Also does TV
- Still losing money as of H1 2023
- terrible balance sheet. Libs of 9.4m vs equity of 1.2m
- losing about 2m a year income wise but ebitda is positive at 2m a year. Might be cash flow positive
- actually in 2022 thr company made 1.5M EBT
- The company is the publisher of several editorial and multimedia products, including Il Fatto Quotidiano
- Company’s growth seems to be more based on launch of the Training branch with the Scuola del Fatto. Then on newspapers
- maybe 33% digital rev as of 2022.
- Insiders own 43% of the stock
- not interesting as the company doesn’t return any capital to shareholders and balance sheet sucks
- Rizzoli Corriere Della Sera Mediagroup
- Newspaper Company in Italy
- Owns the leading newspaper in Italy
- Digital revenue makes up approximately 26.3% of total revenue from 2023
- Slowly increasing every year
- Total advertising sales on online media are equal to approximately 43% of total advertising revenue.
- 400M Market Cap. Earnings this year was 50M and earnings last year in 2022 was 70M
- 500M Lib
- 850M Rev which puts the EV/Sales at about 1
- EV/EBIT is around 10 times
- 600K Corriere Della Sera online subs 2023
- Seems okay but not as cheap as the next one
- Caltagirone Editore
- Ticker BIT:CED
- Italian Newspaper
- Second largest Italian publishing group
- Owns 6 of the top 20 Italian newspapers
- Focused on middle Italy. IE:Rome
- Company only has 93M of Libs as of H1 2023
- company has 300M in equity investments mostly in insurance companies and banks. This is how the company made profit though dividends from the investments
- The core operations doesn’t make any money.
- “In the first six months of 2023, Group advertising revenues increased 8.5%. Paper edition advertising revenues, considering also advertising carried out on behalf of third parties, increased 2.6% on 2022, while internet advertising, considering also advertising carried out on behalf of third parties, was up 21.1% on 2022. The contribution of this segment to overall advertising revenues was 29.4%. The market in the January – May 2023 period contracted 4.5%2 for print newspaper advertising, while Internet advertising rose 6.3%3. ” – H1 2023 Item
- 2017 revenue was 144M vs 116M in 2023
- digital advertising is 31% of ad rev as of 2023 vs 14% in 2017
- In dollar terms thats 19M in 2023 vs 11M in 2017
- That’s not very impressive
- Internet advertising rev
- Grew 16% in 2023
- Grew 1.5% in 2021
- Grew 4.3% in 2019
- Declined 2017 by 4%
- Company reported DAU online of 1.04M in 2017 vs 4M in 2023
- In 2017 4.2% of circulation revenue came from digital. Does not disclose though after that year
- the company has a market cap of 120M. But EV is negative because of the equity investments. Operating business seems to be breakeven as of 2023
- Francesco Gaetano Caltagirone owns 71% of the stock as of 2022
- This is the second newspaper company I added to my portfolio. Mostly due to the fact the company has a negative EV and an excellent balance sheet which should make it easy to survive till the time comes for the company to get to high digital revenue as a percent of total revenue and get to some sort of growth and profitability for the operation. Though the bad is the company growth of its digital revenue has been slow compared to other players. Also total digital revenue to total is probably below 30% which is behind other players. And so It will probably take longer for them to inflect towards growth. Due to those reasons I only took a half position.